Bihar Polls: For 48 Years, Winners on These 6 Seats Formed the Government — Will History Repeat Itself?

Bihar: The counting of votes for the Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 is going on, and meanwhile six such seats are again in discussion, which are called “kingmaker seats” in the language of politics. An interesting trend has been observed in these areas since 1977—the party or alliance that wins these seats usually comes to power in the state. Now everyone's eyes are on whether this pattern will continue this time also. These six seats include the Kevati, Sakra, Saharsa, Munger, Barbigha, and Pipra assembly constituencies.

Caveat Assembly—100% Accurate Track Record

Keoti, a seat of Darbhanga district, is considered the key to power. Since 1977, every time, the winner of this seat has been from the same coalition that formed the government. In 2020, BJP's Murari Mohan Jha won from here, and the JDU-BJP alliance formed the government. This time too this seat is considered very important.

Saharsa Assembly-winner gets the support of power

Saharsa, the seat of Mithilanchal, has also been a part of this trend. In 2020, BJP's Alok Ranjan Jha had won from here. This time he is facing Indrajit Gupta of the Grand Alliance-backed IIP.
This seat has been going in favor of the ruling party in almost every election.

Sakra Assembly—occasionally breaking the trend

The history of the Sakra seat of Muzaffarpur is also interesting. Except in 1985, every time the winner of this seat was the same coalition that formed the government. Last time this seat had gone to JDU's account, which had strengthened the path of the NDA government.

Munger Assembly—with power almost every time

The trend is almost stable in Munger seat also. Except in 1985, the winning candidate here has been part of the ruling party. In 2020, BJP's Pranay Kumar Yadav had won from here.

Pipra Assembly – trend broken, then joined again

Pipra seat of East Champaran is usually won by the ruling party. In 2015, BJP's Shyambabu Prasad Yadav won, while the government was formed by the Grand Alliance. However, a few months later Nitish Kumar returned to NDA, and the trend seemed to match again. This time too Yadav is in the fray and is contesting against CPM's Rajmangal Prasad.

Barbigha Assembly – indication towards power

The Barbigha seat has also given signals of power many times in advance. In 1977, the Janata Party, then Congress for a long time, and the JDU won here in 2020. This time too this seat is being considered special in terms of trends.

Will this pattern of six seats continue in 2025 also?

These seats are also kept an eye on because the track record here gives an early indication to the election analysts as to whom the power in the state is leaning towards. Now all eyes are on the results of these six seats—will history repeat itself, or will the politics of Bihar take a new turn this time?